CONSUMER SPENDING: Holidays

By Dr. David Edward Marcinko MBA MEd

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🎄 Introduction

The holiday season has long been synonymous with heightened consumer spending, as families allocate budgets for gifts, travel, food, and entertainment. In 2025, however, this tradition is unfolding against a backdrop of inflation, rising living costs, and shifting consumer priorities. While spending remains robust in certain segments, the overall picture reveals a more complex and cautious approach to holiday consumption.

📊 Spending Trends

  • Overall increase in spending: According to KPMG, consumers expect to spend 4.6% more than last year, though this rise is largely attributed to higher prices rather than stronger financial positions.
  • Income disparities: Higher‑income households are driving most of the gains, while lower‑income families anticipate cutting back.
  • Decline in discretionary spending: Growth in discretionary purchases is minimal, with real buying power declining.
  • Generational differences: Younger generations, especially Gen Z, plan to reduce holiday spending, reflecting financial strain and shifting values.
  • Gift spending contraction: Average gift spending is expected to drop, signaling a move toward more practical or meaningful purchases.

🛍️ Shopping Behavior

  • Timing of purchases: Many consumers are delaying shopping, avoiding the traditional early‑season surge.
  • Digital vs. physical stores: Online shopping continues to grow, but physical stores remain critical for driving results.
  • Technology in discovery: Tools powered by artificial intelligence are reshaping holiday shopping, helping consumers find deals and products more efficiently.
  • Concentration of spending: A large share of gift purchases occurs between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday, reflecting the importance of promotional events.

🎁 Shifts in Priorities

  • Focus on essentials: Consumers are prioritizing tangible goods and essentials over luxury or experiential items.
  • Value‑driven choices: Shoppers are seeking value and meaning, often opting for fewer but more thoughtful gifts.
  • Travel and self‑spending: Many households are allocating more budget for travel and personal indulgence, even as they cut back on gifts.

🌍 Broader Implications

Holiday spending trends highlight the tension between tradition and economic reality. Retailers face challenges in predicting demand, as consumer sentiment remains cautious. Marketing strategies are shifting toward digital platforms, social media, and personalized promotions. For policymakers and economists, these spending patterns serve as indicators of household confidence and broader economic health.

🎯 Conclusion

In summary, consumer spending during the holiday season is marked by uneven growth, generational shifts, and a stronger emphasis on essentials and value. While higher‑income households sustain overall spending levels, many others are scaling back, reflecting the pressures of inflation and rising costs. The season remains festive, but it is increasingly defined by careful budgeting, strategic shopping, and evolving consumer values.

COMMENTS APPRECIATED

EDUCATION: Books

SPEAKING: Dr. Marcinko will be speaking and lecturing, signing and opining, teaching and preaching, storming and performing at many locations throughout the USA this year! His tour of witty and serious pontifications may be scheduled on a planned or ad-hoc basis; for public or private meetings and gatherings; formally, informally, or over lunch or dinner. All medical societies, financial advisory firms or Broker-Dealers are encouraged to submit an RFP for speaking engagements: CONTACT: Ann Miller RN MHA at MarcinkoAdvisors@outlook.com -OR- http://www.MarcinkoAssociates.com

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