Understanding Behavioral Finance and Economics

Historical Review

By: Dr. David Edward Marcinko; MBA, MEd, CMP™

By: Eugene Schmuckler; PhD, MBA, CTS

By: Dr. Kenneth H. Shubin-Stein, CFA

By: Richard B. Wagner; JD, CFP®

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Validating the emerging alliance between psychology (human behavior) and finance (economics) is the fact that two Americans won the Royal Swedish Academy of Science’s, 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science. Their research was nothing short of an explanation for the idiosyncrasies incumbent in human financial decision-making outcomes.

The Pioneers

Daniel Kahneman, PhD, professor of psychology at Princeton University, and Vernon L. Smith, PhD, professor of economics at George Mason University in Fairfax, Va., shared the prize for work that provided insight on everything from stock market bubbles, to regulating utilities, and countless other economic activities. In several cases, the winners tried to explain apparent financial paradoxes.

The Experiments

For example, Professor Kahneman made the economically puzzling discovery that most of his subjects would make a 20-minute trip to buy a calculator for $10 instead of $15, but would not make the same trip to buy a jacket for $120 instead of $125, saving the same $5.

Initially, in the 1960’s, Smith set out to demonstrate how economic theory worked in the laboratory (in vitro), while Kahneman was more interested in the ways economic theory mis-predicted people in real-life (in-vivo). He tested the limits of standard economic choice theory in predicting the actions of real people, and his work formalized laboratory techniques for studying economic decision making, with a focus on trading and bargaining.

Academe’

Later, Smith and Kahneman together were among the first economists to make experimental data a cornerstone of academic output. Their studies included people playing games of cooperation and trust, and simulating different types of markets in a laboratory setting. Their theories assumed that individuals make decisions systematically, based on preferences and available information, in a way that changes little over time, or in different contexts. By the late 1970’s, Richard H. Thaler, PhD, an economist at the University of Chicago also began to perform behavioral experiments further suggesting irrational wrinkles in standard financial theory and behavior, enhancing the still embryonic but increasingly popular theories of Kahneman and Smith.

Other Pioneers

Other economists’ laboratory experiments used ideas about competitive interactions pioneered by game theorists like John Forbes Nash Jr., PhD, who shared the Nobel in 1994, as points of reference. But, Kahneman and Smith often concentrated on cases where people’s actions depart from the systematic, rational strategies that Nash envisioned. Psychologically, this was all a precursor to the informal concept of life planning.

Enter the Financial Planners

Of course, comprehensive financial planners have always consulted with their clients regarding their goals and objectives, hopes and dreams, but typically from the point of view of money goals, rather than life ideals or business goals. The absence, or presence of biological and/or psychological reasons for them was never conceived, nor discussed. But, quantifying future subjective and objective goals, and doing a technical analysis of factors such as risk tolerance, age, insurance, tax, investing, retirement and estate planning needs, has certainly been the norm, especially for Certified Medical Planners (CMP).

Assessmentcmp-logo

Life planning and behavioral finance then, as proposed for physicians and integrated by the Institute of Medical Business Advisors (iMBA) is somewhat similar. Its uniqueness emanates from a holistic union of personal financial planning and medical practice management, solely for the healthcare space.  Unlike pure life planning, pure financial planning, or pure management theory, it is both a quantitative and qualitative “hard and soft” science. It has an ambitious economic, psychological and managerial niche value proposition never before proposed and codified, while still representing an evolving philosophy. Its’ zealous practitioners are called Certified Medical Planners (CMPs).

www.CertifiedMedicalPlanner.org

Conclusion

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5 Responses

  1. Dr. Marcinko, et al,

    This is a touchy subject.
    But, does behavioral economics really matter?

    http://theincidentaleconomist.com/does-behavioral-economics-matter/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheIncidentalEconomist+%28The+Incidental+Economist+%28Posts%29%29

    May be, maybe not.
    Your readers will decide?

    George

    Like

  2. Behavior and Morale

    We all know that the healthcare industry has been somewhat immune to the economic recession compared to other hard-hit industries, but a new survey reveals that healthcare organizations are now also battling low employee morale.

    http://www.healthcarefinancenews.com/news/healthcare-employers-battle-low-employee-morale

    John

    Like

  3. Behavioral Finance

    This is a very interesting subject to me. I taught a class at our local community college last year entitled “Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing”.

    Physicians, like most investors, often make investment decisions based upon “instinct”. Fear and greed are often important factors affecting those decisions. As illustrated in the diagram below, the point of maximal euphoria, when greed sets in and investors think that the market can only go up, is often the point of maximum financial risk going forward. Think about the year 2000. Tech stocks were delivering double-digit returns. Investors thought “it’s different this time”. A survey of investors showed that on average, they anticipated 20% annual returns in the market for the next ten years. This was followed shortly by the collapse of the tech stock sector and a significant bear market.

    The opposite situation occurred in March of 2009. At this point of maximum despair and fear, many investors thought that the market was in a permanent downward spiral. They feared that capitalism had failed, and the economy and the stock market could never recover. In retrospect, we can see that this time period was a great buying opportunity. The forward-looking risk was much lower than average. This point was followed by an impressive return of 90% in the market over the following year.

    In my work as a financial advisor with physician clients, one of my most important functions is to provide a rational, disciplined, and evidence-based framework for their investing strategy. I help them to avoid making rash decisions based upon fear and greed.

    Brian J. Knabe MD CMP™ FAAFP
    Savant Capital Management, Inc®.
    190 Buckley Drive
    Rockford, IL 61107
    Tel 815-227-0300
    Fax 815-226-2195
    bknabe@savantcapital.com

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  4. The Changing Face of Behavioral Economics

    Doctors – Behavioral economics has been a thriving area of research for some time, but the current economic crisis has brought many of the core ideas of the subject, such as crowd behavior and rationality, to the fore.

    In this provocative short film, Laureates and young researchers at the 2011 Lindau Meeting in the Economic Sciences, discuss the intellectual contribution of behavioral economics, examine its place within the discipline of economics, and discuss where it must go in order to have a future.

    On the theme of scientific progress, the film closes with some lively discussion on the openness of the field to the influence of other social sciences. Featuring Laureates Akerlof, Aumann, Maskin, McFadden, and Phelps.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=shfElh7_KcI

    Fraternally,
    Arie

    Like

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